The Triton

News

Active Atlantic hurricane season predicted, below normal in Pacific

ADVERTISEMENT

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecasts an active or extremely active Atlantic hurricane season which runs June 1 through November 30.


Experts at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center base the prediction on three primary climate factors including a strong west African monsoon season, warmer-than-average water temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea and no formation of El Niño conditions.


The outlook suggests a 70 percent likelihood of 13 to 20 named storms with winds of 39 mph or higher. Of these storms, 7 to 11 of them could become hurricanes with winds of 74 mph or higher. These could include 3 to 6 major hurricanes of category 3, 4 or 5 with winds of 111 mph or higher.


These numbers are above the seasonal average of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes.


NOAA predictions also include below-normal hurricane seasons in the Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific Basin.


For the Eastern Pacific, NOAA forecasters expect a 70 percent chance of 11 to 16 named storms, which includes 5 to 8 hurricanes, of which 1 to 4 are expected to become major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale). An average season sees 15 named storms, with eight hurricanes and four major hurricanes.


For the Central Pacific Basin, NOAA predictions are for 1 to 3 tropical cyclones. An average season has 4 to 5 tropical cyclones, which include tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes.



Click on the following links for further information:

To follow the Atlantic hurricane season from NOAA.

 

To follow the Atlantic hurricane season from Crown Weather.

 

To follow the Eastern Pacific hurricane season from NOAA.

 

To follow the Central Pacific hurricane season from NOAA.

 

To follow The Weather Channel.

 

For NOAA hurricane preparedness quide and information.

Share This Post

Leave a comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Please answer the question below to leave a comment. * Time limit is exhausted. Please reload CAPTCHA.

Editor’s Picks

Triton Expo is Oct. 12

Mid-October is time for The Triton’s biggest event of the year, our fall Triton Expo. This year, we’ve gathered about 50 businesses to …

Women just do their jobs in yachting; rooming, agencies and hiring could improve

Women just do their jobs in yachting; rooming, agencies and hiring could improve

When we decided to gather a group of women for a Triton From the Bridge lunch, it sounded like a great idea, but as soon as we all sat …

Doors, power, access surprise firefighters and crew in yacht training

Doors, power, access surprise firefighters and crew in yacht training

As part of the fire team on M/Y Archimedes, Bosun Max Haynes knows how to fight fire onboard the 222-foot (68m) Feadship. But he was …

Crew Unlimited and ICT in Ft. Lauderdale join with Bluewater in Europe

Crew Unlimited and ICT in Ft. Lauderdale join with Bluewater in Europe

Crew, employees, industry expect opportunities as European and U.S. companies partner to expand yacht crew training, …

Events