More Info »"/>

The Triton


BoatUS weighs accuracy of hurricane predictions


Every summer, highly qualified experts with supercomputers try to predict how many tropical storms and hurricanes will form in the Atlantic. For this year’s June 1-Nov. 30 hurricane season, most forecasters predict average to above-average storm activity.

But how accurate are those predictions? BoatUS, a national advocacy, services and safety group for boaters, compared more than two decades of storm predictions from Colorado State University’s Philip Klotzbach and the late Bill Gray.

“Our  mission was not to judge the forecasters but to find out how much confidence we should have in the hurricane-season predictions and what it means to boaters,” Charles Fort, director of the BoatUs Seaworthy Program, said in a statement.

Seaworthy found that out of 22 years of hurricane activity forecasts, one was 100 percent accurate. In some years, there were as many as eight more storms than predicted.

Boaters often misinterpret what the forecasters try to do, Fort said. “Early season hurricane predictions don’t attempt to forecast the percentage of storms that will come ashore or which coastal locations will be in the crosshair.”

Fort advises boaters to hope for the best but prepare for the worst. For more information, visit

Related Posts...
The Cayman Islands Shipping Registry, a division of the Maritime Read more...
The U.S. Coast Guard has divided its Miami anchorage ground Read more...
Informa Exhibitions has said it is investing in upgrades to Read more...
A yacht that was anchored off the beach at Plage Read more...

Share This Post

Leave a comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Please answer the question below to leave a comment. * Time limit is exhausted. Please reload CAPTCHA.

Editor’s Picks

Victoria International Marina opens for yachts this summer

Victoria International Marina opens for yachts this summer

After more than 30 years in the making, the $17.8 million (24 million Canadian dollars) Victoria International Marina is on track to …

NY marina now ready for megayachts

NY marina now ready for megayachts

Large yachts headed to New England this summer can now call on Danfords Marina in Port Jefferson, N.Y. The recently renovated marina now …

It’s all in the family for RPM’s Rubano

It’s all in the family for RPM’s Rubano

By Dorie Cox Every day, Joseph J. "Joe" Rubano scrolls through his online calendar list of 63 employees to see who has a birthday or …

Owner’s View: Text on your own time

Owner’s View: Text on your own time

Owner's View: by Peter Herm This article is about the now ubiquitous smartphone and the crew management challenges it creates. The …