The Triton

Editor's Pick

Active hurricane season predicted

ADVERTISEMENT

Colorado State University hurricane researchers predict an above-average Atlantic hurricane season this year, according to a university report.

The CSU Tropical Meteorology Project team predicts 14 named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30. Of those, researchers expect seven to become hurricanes and three to reach major hurricane strength with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater.

The team bases its forecasts on more than 60 years of historical data that include Atlantic sea surface temperatures, sea level pressures, vertical wind shear levels (the change in wind direction and speed with height in the atmosphere), El Niño (warming of waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific), and other factors.

Researchers say the 2018 prediction is based on a relatively low likelihood of a significant El Niño. The western tropical North Atlantic is currently slightly warmer than normal, while the eastern tropical Atlantic is slightly cooler than normal. Colder-than-normal sea surface temperatures provide less fuel for tropical cyclone formation and intensification. They are also associated with a more stable atmosphere as well as drier air, both of which suppress organized thunderstorm activity necessary for hurricane development.

The report includes the following probability of major hurricanes making landfall:

  • 63 percent for the entire U.S. coastline (average for the last century is 52 percent)
  • 39 percent for the U.S. East Coast, including the Florida peninsula (average for the last century is 31 percent)
  • 38 percent for the Gulf Coast from the Florida panhandle westward to Brownsville (average for the last century is 30 percent)
  • 52 percent for the Caribbean (average for the last century is 42 percent)

The CSU team will issue forecast updates on May 31, July 2 and Aug. 2.

Related Posts...
The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers has awarded an $8.55 Read more...
The Florida Department of Transportation issued a feasibility study for Read more...
A charter cruise aboard a Miami yacht was abruptly ended Read more...
A 20m yacht burned today, June 17, near Porto Venere, Read more...
Ice loss in Antarctica has tripled in a decade, pouring Read more...

Share This Post

Leave a comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Please answer the question below to leave a comment. * Time limit is exhausted. Please reload CAPTCHA.

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Editor’s Picks

Secure at Sea: The growing pains of cyber-security

Secure at Sea: The growing pains of cyber-security

Secure @ Sea: by Corey Ranslem When I heard about it, I was amazed but not surprised. The high-roller database at a major casino …

Crew Compass: Make time for yourself

Crew Compass: Make time for yourself

Crew Compass: by Lauren Loudon One thing that I’ve found difficult on boats over the years is making time for myself and doing things …

Latest news in the brokerage fleet: Bandido sells; Saint Nicholas, Rock.It listed

Latest news in the brokerage fleet: Bandido sells; Saint Nicholas, Rock.It listed

Yachts sold M/Y Bandido, a 137-foot (41.8m) Westport launched in 1989, sold in an in-house deal by Ocean Independence broker Chris …

Derecktor, Haack bid for Fort Pierce yacht facility

Derecktor, Haack bid for Fort Pierce yacht facility

By Dorie Cox Two bids to develop a megayacht repair facility in Fort Pierce, Florida, are under evaluation. Derecktor Holdings Inc. and …